Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 3.092419e-02 0.033709 0.036457 0.039367 0.042357 0.045335 0.048519
2024-12-15 2.581018e-02 0.030340 0.034921 0.039878 0.045066 0.050319 0.056020
2024-12-22 2.127778e-02 0.026901 0.032720 0.039131 0.045944 0.052927 0.060588
2024-12-29 1.821264e-02 0.024647 0.031442 0.039042 0.047217 0.055676 0.065027
2025-01-05 1.550791e-02 0.022528 0.030094 0.038680 0.048014 0.057751 0.068587
2025-01-12 1.308046e-02 0.020518 0.028709 0.038132 0.048481 0.059357 0.071530
2025-01-19 1.041509e-02 0.018034 0.026647 0.036715 0.047895 0.059736 0.073069
2025-01-26 9.454364e-03 0.017481 0.026706 0.037595 0.049762 0.062705 0.077327
2025-02-02 8.144562e-03 0.016402 0.026092 0.037659 0.050678 0.064597 0.080378
2025-02-09 6.479454e-03 0.014744 0.024719 0.036798 0.050515 0.065267 0.082063
2025-02-16 5.558314e-03 0.013971 0.024348 0.037044 0.051550 0.067213 0.085098
2025-02-23 4.570309e-03 0.013018 0.023710 0.036943 0.052164 0.068667 0.087568
2025-03-02 3.455630e-03 0.011882 0.022936 0.036820 0.052921 0.070468 0.090635
2025-03-09 2.622462e-03 0.011082 0.022582 0.037219 0.054315 0.073027 0.094599
2025-03-16 1.526026e-03 0.009624 0.021307 0.036474 0.054368 0.074071 0.096876
2025-03-23 8.483245e-04 0.008666 0.020616 0.036385 0.055137 0.075882 0.099966
2025-03-30 2.963700e-04 0.007628 0.019745 0.036031 0.055565 0.077279 0.102569
2025-04-06 8.827194e-09 0.006570 0.018765 0.035497 0.055748 0.078373 0.104807
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005160 0.017158 0.034116 0.054896 0.078264 0.105681
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004962 0.017330 0.034973 0.056669 0.081113 0.109827
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004401 0.016900 0.035036 0.057481 0.082854 0.112720
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003479 0.015804 0.034197 0.057193 0.083320 0.114170
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003091 0.015547 0.034437 0.058180 0.085228 0.117218